Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6306…d101
crypto · 1328 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,642 +318%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$329 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$329
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses356 / 998
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1354 / 1328
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day368.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1354 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$306
7 days−$317
14 days−$329
30 days−$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 65¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 0¢ 49¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$10 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$9 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$10 -157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$11 -247%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 957 -4.1% -13.2% 26% 25% -25.9%
≤30d 1354 -3.7% -12.9% 26% 24% -23.1%
≤90d 1354 -3.7% -12.9% 26% 24% -23.1%
all 1354 -3.7% -12.9% 26% 24% -23.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover368.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 24% -23.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 22% -30.5%
15% -28.8% 20% -37.2%
20% -35.8% 19% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.07 · official $3.82 (match) · 3500 history records