trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 22 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $200 | $200 | −$0 (-0%) |
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control O | Jun 01 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Jun 01 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $240 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 28 | $239 | $0 | +0% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Apr 10 | $237 | +$2 | +1% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Apr 03 | $237 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Apr 01 | $1,036 | +$1 | +0% |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Mar 29 | $1,035 | +$1 | +0% |
| Wizards vs. Warriors | Mar 28 | $1,031 | +$5 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | Mar 26 | $1,030 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $1,028 | +$1 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Mar 07 | $1,027 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner | Mar 02 | $1,001 | +$26 | +3% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 01 | $1,000 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $130? | Feb 14 | $999 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than | Feb 05 | $998 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "11.22.63" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, | Jan 23 | $371 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $162 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $172 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $185 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $427 | $0 | +0% |