Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x630d…875a
sports · 69 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$685 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$685 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$685
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses13 / 56
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage13d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$243
7 days−$677
14 days−$685
30 days−$685
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $31 −$2 -7%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $271 −$118 -44%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $38 −$10 -27%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $142 +$82 +58%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $158 −$54 -34%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $34 −$34 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $7 +$17 +247%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 11 $10 +$58 +555%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $62 −$62 -100%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 09 $30 +$3 +9%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $61 −$2 -4%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $233 −$233 -100%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $31 +$100 +323%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $37 −$37 -100%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $23 −$23 -100%
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher world Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 09 $4 −$3 -79%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $27 −$27 -100%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $36 −$36 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $16 +$23 +141%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $15 +$233 +1521%
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $30 +$1 +3%
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world Jun 08 $170 +$30 +18%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $1 +$28 +2156%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Jun 08 $30 −$20 -67%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 08 $60 +$10 +17%
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwid Jun 08 $30 −$29 -94%
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 08 $30 −$29 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$439
other 23% −$245
finance 0% −$1
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 26¢ $28 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 27¢ $31 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 6¢ $13 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 6¢ $10 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 6¢ $20 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 3¢ $16 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 2¢ $28 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 10¢ $2 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 8¢ $9 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 6¢ $6 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 7¢ $6 4h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 25¢ $31 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 25¢ $31 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 8¢ $2 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 5¢ $2 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 6¢ $2 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 6¢ $2 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 5¢ $2 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL Paraguay 26¢ $153 22h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 38¢ $31 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 34¢ $15 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 30¢ $31 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 38¢ $14 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 35¢ $31 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 30¢ $31 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 30¢ $31 23h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 29¢ $19 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 SELL Over 2¢ $0 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 SELL Over 3¢ $27 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 SELL Over 27¢ $52 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +16.8% +5.7% 21% 14% -25.8%
≤30d 69 +14.4% +3.5% 19% 13% -25.7%
≤90d 69 +14.4% +3.5% 19% 13% -25.7%
all 69 +14.4% +3.5% 19% 13% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.5% 13% -25.7%
10% ← realistic here -6.4% 10% -32.8%
15% -15.4% 10% -39.3%
20% -23.7% 10% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 488 history records