Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:12:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x6346…4950
crypto · 801 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,391 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,578 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$7,578
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses358 / 596
Open positions2
Markets (closed)954 / 801
History coverage19d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day162.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 2 History 954 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,946
7 days−$7,859
14 days−$7,568
30 days−$7,578
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Up 64¢ 84¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+30%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Down 18¢ 12¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Down 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
HYPE Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 8PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
HYPE Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
HYPE Up or Down - May 25, 7PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 3PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
HYPE Up or Down - May 24, 2AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET Jun 14 $129 −$129 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 6PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET Jun 14 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 7AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 4PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$624
other 25% +$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
HYPE Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
HYPE Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 524 -52.8% -57.3% 22% 21% -84.0%
≤30d 954 -19.5% -27.2% 38% 36% -54.1%
≤90d 954 -19.5% -27.2% 38% 36% -54.1%
all 954 -19.5% -27.2% 38% 36% -54.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover162.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.2% 36% -54.1%
10% ← realistic here -34.1% 35% -58.5%
15% -40.5% 29% -62.5%
20% -46.3% 21% -66.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.31 · official $9.55 · 3500 history records