trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +17.9% | +6.6% | 75% | 75% | +7.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +13.4% | +2.6% | 62% | 62% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +13.4% | +2.6% | 62% | 62% | -8.7% |
| all | 18 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 83% | 33% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 33% | -6.9% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 28% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 28% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -28.4% | 22% | -31.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $29 | +$21 | +73% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$11 | +52% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $48 | +$22 | +47% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$9 | +88% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $69 | −$29 | -42% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$18 | +90% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 21-27? | Oct 27 | $82 | +$11 | +14% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 23 | $64 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 23 | $15 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 20? | Oct 21 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 19? | Oct 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 18? | Oct 19 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 17? | Oct 18 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 16? | Oct 17 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 15? | Oct 15 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 14? | Oct 14 | $24 | $0 | +1% |