Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:50:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x638a…ec82 crypto 1425 markets active 0h ago coverage 34d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$180 (-4%) realized −$240 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -36% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -51% what you keep after slip
Net edge-51%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate50%718W / 706L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day61.1pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$122
7 days−$113
14 days−$144
30 days−$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$188
other 7% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-42.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 592 -66.8% -69.9% 13% 1% -34.6%
≤30d 1030 -49.2% -54.1% 33% 7% -17.4%
≤90d 1424 -36.1% -42.2% 50% 5% -14.3%
all 1424 -36.1% -42.2% 50% 5% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.2% 5% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -47.7% 5% -22.5%
15% -52.7% 5% -30.0%
20% -57.4% 5% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -36% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -66% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$240
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses718 / 706
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1424 / 1425
History coverage34d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day61.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1424 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.50 (match) · 3500 history records