trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 9 | -54.6% | -58.9% | 22% | 22% | -17.2% |
| all | 13 | +86.8% | +69.0% | 38% | 38% | +37.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +69.0% | 38% | +37.2% |
| 10% | +52.8% | 38% | +24.1% |
| 15% | +38.1% | 38% | +12.1% |
| 20% | +24.5% | 38% | +1.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 21¢ | $529 | $751 | +$221 (+42%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 23¢ | $276 | $574 | +$298 (+108%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $202 | $199 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $463 | $15 | −$448 (-97%) |
| Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $31 | $1 | −$30 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 28 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Apr 23 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Apr 23 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix? | Apr 23 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix | Apr 23 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Apr 23 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Apr 23 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifin | Apr 23 | $151 | +$89 | +59% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Apr 14 | $103 | +$155 | +150% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 07 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | Jan 05 | $95 | +$405 | +426% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Nov 02 | $19 | +$45 | +240% |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Oct 27 | $10 | +$105 | +1053% |