Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:58:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
63 0x63c0…08b5 crypto 749 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,337 (+21%) realized +$1,337 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate68%510W / 239L
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day90.2pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$17
14 days−$32
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$66
sports 1% −$19
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -6.0% -15.0% 85% 11% -12.5%
≤30d 678 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 20% -8.7%
≤90d 749 -0.7% -10.2% 68% 20% -8.8%
all 749 -0.7% -10.2% 68% 20% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 20% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 11% -17.6%
15% -26.6% 9% -25.5%
20% -33.8% 7% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,337
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses510 / 239
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)749 / 749
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day90.2
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 749 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$10 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$12 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records