trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +56.1% | +41.2% | 27% | 27% | +21.1% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 21% | 21% | -24.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 21% | 21% | -24.7% |
| all | 24 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 21% | 21% | -24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.7% | 21% | -24.7% |
| 10% | -29.2% | 21% | -31.9% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 17% | -38.5% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 17% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $166 | $186 | +$20 (+12%) |
| Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 18¢ | 14¢ | $37 | $28 | −$9 (-25%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $1 | −$12 (-90%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-87%) |
| Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-94%) |
| Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 23 | $18 | −$18 | -99% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $13 | −$13 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$52 | +510% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $18 | −$18 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $12 | +$97 | +786% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $16 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$13 | +50% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 09 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $37 | +$40 | +109% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 08 | $13 | −$13 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 08 | $25 | −$24 | -98% |