trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 23 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $850 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,776 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $853 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $853 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $854 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $1,152 | −$39 | -3% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $1,727 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1,746 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $862 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 26 | $1,722 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $863 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 20 | $864 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $867 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $866 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,754 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $867 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $872 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $871 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $876 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $1,663 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $884 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $924 | −$1 | -0% |