Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63ce…ba9a
crypto · 37 markets active 31d ago
0.0score
+$753 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$753 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$753
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses19 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 37
History coverage49d
Avg bet$1,385
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$76
7 days−$76
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 6PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$30 -11657%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$46 -29712%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 6PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -200%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 12 $11,388 +$176 +2%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 7AM ET Mar 24 $1,304 +$16 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7AM ET Mar 24 $1,947 −$223 -11%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 7AM ET Mar 24 $1,452 +$428 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7AM ET Mar 24 $5,406 +$45 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6AM ET Mar 24 $127 +$820 +648%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 24 $205 −$74 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Mar 24 $217 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 24 $1,142 −$19 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 24 $1,096 −$15 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 24 $1,130 −$47 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Mar 24 $1,091 −$7 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Mar 24 $2,322 −$157 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Mar 24 $291 −$275 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 24 $565 +$53 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Mar 24 $1,763 −$293 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Mar 24 $1,515 +$21 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Mar 24 $1,556 −$158 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 24 $1,738 +$129 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Mar 24 $2,059 −$133 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 24 $202 −$21 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Mar 24 $145 +$91 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Mar 24 $562 −$29 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Mar 24 $743 −$9 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Mar 24 $531 +$58 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 24 $921 −$13 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Mar 24 $1,296 −$78 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Mar 24 $312 −$70 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Mar 24 $370 +$16 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Mar 24 $833 −$254 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Mar 24 $526 +$86 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Mar 24 $1,072 +$4 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Mar 24 $1,968 +$48 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Mar 24 $1,626 +$463 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Mar 24 $324 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Mar 24 $452 +$40 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Mar 24 $1,037 +$190 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% +$653
world 22% +$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $15 30d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $11,532 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $18 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $975 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $650 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1,024 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $9 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $8 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 40 +7.3% -2.9% 48% 18% -8.1%
all 40 +7.3% -2.9% 48% 18% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.9% 18% -8.1%
10% -12.2% 10% -16.9%
15% ← realistic here -20.7% 5% -24.9%
20% -28.5% 5% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records