Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63d6…8c6e
crypto · 790 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$77 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$78 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$78
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses391 / 398
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)789 / 790
History coverage5d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day548.9
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 789 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days+$78
14 days+$78
30 days+$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 39¢ 34¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$16 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$10 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$25 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$12 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$9 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$41 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$17 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$22 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +118%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$80
sports 2% +$2
other 0% $0
tech 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 789 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 44% -8.1%
≤30d 789 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 44% -8.1%
≤90d 789 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 44% -8.1%
all 789 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 44% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover548.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 44% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 39% -16.9%
15% -30.0% 33% -24.9%
20% -36.8% 29% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.93 · official $22.21 · 3500 history records