trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +24.4% | +12.5% | 62% | 62% | +14.2% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +24.4% | +12.5% | 62% | 62% | +14.2% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +24.4% | +12.5% | 62% | 62% | +14.2% |
| all | 16 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 62% | 62% | +40.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +10.0% | 62% | +40.1% |
| 10% | -0.5% | 56% | +26.7% |
| 15% | -10.1% | 56% | +14.4% |
| 20% | -19.0% | 56% | +3.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $50 | $60 | +$10 (+20%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $50 | $54 | +$4 (+9%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+7%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Over | 54¢ | 54¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Under | 54¢ | 54¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Over | 52¢ | 52¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Over | 42¢ | 42¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $31 | +$44 | +146% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | +$18 | +60% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$21 | +105% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $10 | +$16 | +158% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 12 | $3,798 | +$4,394 | +116% |
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? | Jan 14 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? | Jan 14 | $4,895 | +$605 | +12% |