Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63eb…ee90
crypto · 428 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$117 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$117 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$117
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses352 / 76
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)428 / 428
History coverage37d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day19.3
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 428 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 12 $90 −$18 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 12 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 12 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 12 $50 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$119
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $16 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $26 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $15 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -2.8% -12.1% 84% 4% -13.4%
≤30d 25 -2.8% -12.1% 84% 4% -13.4%
≤90d 428 +1.7% -8.0% 82% 17% -9.1%
all 428 +1.7% -8.0% 82% 17% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 17% -9.1%
10% -16.8% 9% -17.8%
15% -24.8% 6% -25.7%
20% -32.2% 3% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1270 history records