Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:02:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63f1…102a
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$61 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses19 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage10d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$65
14 days+$61
30 days+$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$13 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$55
sports 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $14 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +17.0% +5.9% 66% 62% +15.4%
≤30d 34 +4.0% -5.9% 56% 53% +13.2%
≤90d 34 +4.0% -5.9% 56% 53% +13.2%
all 34 +4.0% -5.9% 56% 53% +13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.9% 53% +13.2%
10% -14.9% 44% +2.4%
15% -23.1% 29% -7.5%
20% -30.6% 21% -16.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records