Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:17:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

63
0x63fc…32a2
crypto · 583 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$158 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$175 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$175
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses291 / 291
Open positions1
Markets (closed)582 / 583
History coverage2d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day1427.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$176
7 days+$175
14 days+$175
30 days+$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 49¢ 92¢ $16 $31 +$14 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 36¢ 8¢ $22 $5 −$17 (-76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$17 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $163 −$15 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$14 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$20 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$19 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$16 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$15 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$23 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$158
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $17 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $14 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $18 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $17 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $28 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $17 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 582 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.8%
≤30d 582 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.8%
≤90d 582 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.8%
all 582 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1427.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 41% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 31% -17.6%
15% -27.2% 22% -25.5%
20% -34.3% 17% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.17 · official $38.12 · 3500 history records