trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 22 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 22 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 10% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 15% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 20% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 20? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $7 | $9 | +$2 (+30%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | $7 | $9 | +$2 (+32%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 20? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $6 | $8 | +$2 (+28%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $6 | $8 | +$2 (+28%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21? | No | 74¢ | 72¢ | $7 | $6 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 21? | No | 72¢ | 70¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22? | No | 72¢ | 68¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20? | No | 78¢ | 69¢ | $6 | $6 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31? | May 30 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 30? | May 29 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30? | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 30? | May 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 30? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 30? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ma | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 30? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 29? | May 28 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 29? | May 28 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 28? | May 28 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29? | May 27 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29? | May 27 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29? | May 27 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 29? | May 27 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 29? | May 27 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on May 28? | May 27 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 28? | May 27 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 28? | May 26 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28? | May 26 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28? | May 26 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |