Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6413…8200
sports · 663 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$20 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses330 / 316
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions17
Markets (closed)646 / 663
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day194.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 17 History 646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 72¢ 70¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-2%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 14¢ 76¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+443%)
IR Iran leading at halftime? No 64¢ 63¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 54¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 65¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Julia Avdeeva 31¢ 66¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+111%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? Yes 44¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 46¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-18%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Blinkova 61¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 76¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 67¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 20¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 43¢ 37¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ 38¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Katie Volynets 41¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-38%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? No 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 58¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Eva Vedder 61¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 93¢ 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-74%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 +$3 +95%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $13 −$10 -77%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $9 +$2 +20%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $7 −$2 -26%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $8 −$4 -49%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $13 $0 +3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$3 -55%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$1 -35%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $7 +$2 +32%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $4 −$3 -67%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $14 −$7 -49%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $13 +$5 +42%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $5 +$10 +197%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Jun 14 $4 +$3 +70%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $5 −$3 -63%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -41%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $3 −$1 -28%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $3 $0 -5%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $4 −$2 -40%
Haiti leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $14 −$1 -5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $13 $0 +2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $12 +$1 +6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +74%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +47%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $17 +$3 +18%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$1 -44%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 −$1 -36%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $5 +$5 +98%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $15 −$8 -52%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -41%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 +$6 +84%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% −$9
other 10% +$1
world 0% $0
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 27m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 46¢ $2 30m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 41¢ $2 34m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 65¢ $2 37m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 61¢ $1 39m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 58¢ $1 50m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 31¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 61¢ $1 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ $1 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $1 3h
Spread: Australia (-2.5) BUY Türkiye 98¢ $3 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 23¢ $1 5h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 74¢ $15 5h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 20¢ $0 6h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 90¢ $5 6h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 35¢ $1 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 6h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 6h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 68¢ $5 6h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 14¢ $1 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $12 6h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 62¢ $1 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 6h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 93¢ $6 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 64¢ $6 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? BUY No 48¢ $1 6h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 96¢ $13 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 646 +2.3% -7.4% 51% 40% -9.7%
≤30d 646 +2.3% -7.4% 51% 40% -9.7%
≤90d 646 +2.3% -7.4% 51% 40% -9.7%
all 646 +2.3% -7.4% 51% 40% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 40% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 31% -18.3%
15% -24.4% 24% -26.2%
20% -31.8% 17% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.18 · official $72.18 (match) · 1603 history records