trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 25% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 25% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 18 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 44% | 0% | -12.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 0% | -12.0% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 0% | -20.4% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 0% | -28.1% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 12¢ | 14¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 22 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $32 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $39 | −$8 | -20% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $49 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 19 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will there be 3+ fights in NHL 4 Nations Final? | Mar 03 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |