Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:39:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x643b…0361
crypto · 542 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$209 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$189
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses174 / 366
Open positions2
Markets (closed)540 / 542
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day495.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 540 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$134
7 days−$188
14 days−$188
30 days−$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 94¢ $12 $23 +$11 (+87%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 90¢ $12 $23 +$10 (+81%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 50¢ 10¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 49¢ 6¢ $12 $2 −$11 (-87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$12 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$7 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$8 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$4 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$6 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$11 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$13 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$209
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 -5.5% -14.5% 32% 21% -11.0%
≤30d 540 -5.5% -14.5% 32% 21% -11.0%
≤90d 540 -5.5% -14.5% 32% 21% -11.0%
all 540 -5.5% -14.5% 32% 21% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover495.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 21% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 14% -19.5%
15% -30.1% 11% -27.3%
20% -37.0% 9% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.40 · official $50.00 · 3500 history records