trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 12% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 12% | 0% | -10.8% |
| all | 24 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 46% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $57 | −$3 | -5% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? | Dec 10 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 23 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | May 16 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 12 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 11 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | May 09 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 07 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | May 07 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election? | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -57% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 22 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Gonzaga vs. Washington State | Mar 04 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |