Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:41:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6469…619a
crypto · 617 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses288 / 329
Open positions0
Markets (closed)617 / 617
History coverage29d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 617 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$56
14 days−$56
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $107 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$10 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 28 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 28 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 28 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 26 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 26 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 26 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 26 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 26 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 26 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$71
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -44.0% -49.4% 20% 12% -19.8%
≤30d 617 -6.0% -14.9% 47% 46% -12.6%
≤90d 617 -6.0% -14.9% 47% 46% -12.6%
all 617 -6.0% -14.9% 47% 46% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 46% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 46% -20.9%
15% -30.5% 44% -28.6%
20% -37.3% 43% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2134 history records