Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x647b…5d8b
crypto · 368 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$2,079 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,618 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,618
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses268 / 100
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage15d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day75.6
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$894
7 days+$1,463
14 days+$1,682
30 days+$1,618
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1,349 $0 −$1,349 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $236 +$70 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$9 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$5 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $378 −$375 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $147 +$13 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$31 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $688 +$121 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$20 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$131 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$12 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$8 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $96 +$104 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $340 −$340 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $168 +$65 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$10 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$13 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $94 +$38 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$26 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $73 −$29 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$6 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,759 +$17 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $116 −$50 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,352 −$1,349 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$17 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$15 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1,226 +$106 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $144 +$10 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$4 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $64 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $325 +$38 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1,717 +$362 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,304 +$16 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $401 +$32 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,480 +$20 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $66 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$868
other 10% +$750
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $18 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $14 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $14 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 +8.4% -1.9% 75% 60% -5.6%
≤30d 368 +5.6% -4.5% 73% 56% -5.6%
≤90d 368 +5.6% -4.5% 73% 56% -5.6%
all 368 +5.6% -4.5% 73% 56% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 56% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 46% -14.7%
15% -22.0% 28% -22.9%
20% -29.6% 17% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1419 history records