Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6490…0982
crypto · 44 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$103 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses20 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day71.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$103
14 days−$103
30 days−$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$24 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$22 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$10 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$63 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$29 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$13 +51%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 11 $20 −$6 -28%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $41 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$15 +58%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $69 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$93
other 12% −$5
finance 2% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $16 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $110 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -14.0% -22.2% 45% 39% -20.2%
≤30d 44 -14.0% -22.2% 45% 39% -20.2%
≤90d 44 -14.0% -22.2% 45% 39% -20.2%
all 44 -14.0% -22.2% 45% 39% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 39% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 25% -27.9%
15% -36.4% 20% -34.8%
20% -42.7% 20% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 84 history records