Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:23:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x6496…826e
crypto · 816 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,362 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,355 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$3,355
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses453 / 664
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1117 / 816
History coverage14d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day216.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,527
7 days−$2,527
14 days−$3,151
30 days−$3,355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 84¢ 52¢ $20 $13 −$8 (-38%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 67¢ 69¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$36 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -130%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$8 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$681
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-40.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 472 -79.1% -81.1% 17% 11% -64.7%
≤30d 1117 -33.7% -40.0% 41% 29% -28.0%
≤90d 1117 -33.7% -40.0% 41% 29% -28.0%
all 1117 -33.7% -40.0% 41% 29% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover216.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.0% 29% -28.0%
10% ← realistic here -45.7% 20% -34.9%
15% -51.0% 13% -41.2%
20% -55.8% 9% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.46 · official $16.12 · 3500 history records