trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 0% | 0% | -23.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -2.9% | -12.1% | 17% | 0% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -2.9% | -12.1% | 17% | 0% | -11.4% |
| all | 27 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 26% | 0% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.4% | 0% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $28 | −$4 | -15% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 09 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $43 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $43 | +$1 | +2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 05 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $46 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 19 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 13 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Sep 02 | $3 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? | Aug 24 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Aug 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Aug 23 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Aug 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Aug 23 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? | Aug 23 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? | Aug 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Aug 23 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 22 | $42 | $0 | -0% |