trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 28 | $1,237 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cameron Norrie be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 28 | $1,288 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 28 | $1,265 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? | May 21 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 21 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial electio | May 21 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 15 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 15 | $883 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 15 | $745 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 15 | $743 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 14 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | May 14 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 14 | $740 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 14 | $727 | −$6 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12? | May 13 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? | May 13 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 13 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 13 | $785 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 05 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | Apr 01 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 27 | $135 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 202 | Mar 27 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? | Mar 27 | $56 | $0 | -0% |