Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:03:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64a2…e7c7
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$46
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses29 / 48
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)77 / 80
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day88.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +134%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$2 +57%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$54
other 21% −$15
sports 4% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-28.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -21.5% -28.9% 38% 35% -20.9%
≤30d 77 -21.5% -28.9% 38% 35% -20.9%
≤90d 77 -21.5% -28.9% 38% 35% -20.9%
all 77 -21.5% -28.9% 38% 35% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.9% 35% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -35.7% 29% -28.5%
15% -42.0% 19% -35.4%
20% -47.6% 17% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.89 · official $48.89 (match) · 218 history records