Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:16:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x64b7…bf01 crypto 37 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-1%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate57%21W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day40.0pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$2
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +11.8% +1.2% 57% 54% -11.0%
≤30d 37 +11.8% +1.2% 57% 54% -11.0%
≤90d 37 +11.8% +1.2% 57% 54% -11.0%
all 37 +11.8% +1.2% 57% 54% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.2% 54% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -8.5% 46% -19.5%
15% -17.3% 41% -27.3%
20% -25.4% 32% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses21 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 37 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +52%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +228%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +23%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.00 (match) · 62 history records