trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 36¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 63¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | Jun 13 | $18 | +$3 | +17% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| United States to win the second half? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$8 | +152% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Kim Jingyu: 1+ goals | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hwang Heechan: 2+ Goals | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +21% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 33% | 33% | -35.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 33% | 33% | -35.7% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 33% | 33% | -35.7% |
| all | 21 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 33% | 33% | -35.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.7% | 33% | -35.7% |
| 10% | -49.1% | 24% | -41.9% |
| 15% | -54.0% | 19% | -47.5% |
| 20% | -58.5% | 10% | -52.6% |