trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 100% | 0% | -5.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +604.5% | +537.4% | 100% | 50% | +178.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +56.6% | +41.6% | 22% | 11% | +61.3% |
| all | 28 | -38.9% | -44.7% | 11% | 7% | +35.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.7% | 7% | +35.0% |
| 10% | -50.0% | 7% | +22.1% |
| 15% | -54.8% | 7% | +10.3% |
| 20% | -59.2% | 7% | -0.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 68¢ | 57¢ | $59 | $50 | −$9 (-15%) |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 22 | $25 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$62 | +1205% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 07 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 07 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 07 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | May 07 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Feb 05 | $43 | +$87 | +203% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20? | Jan 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week | Jan 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week | Jan 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |