Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:46:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x64c4…a340 crypto 119 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$93 (-3%) realized −$93 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate90%107W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day27.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -5.1% -14.1% 90% 0% -12.8%
≤30d 119 -5.1% -14.1% 90% 0% -12.8%
≤90d 119 -5.1% -14.1% 90% 0% -12.8%
all 119 -5.1% -14.1% 90% 0% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 0% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 0% -21.2%
15% -29.8% 0% -28.8%
20% -36.7% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$10 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.22 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses107 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)119 / 119
History coverage5d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day27.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 119 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $84 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $38 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$14 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$5 -55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 253 history records