Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T04:19:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x64c7…06c3 crypto 2111 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$103 (-1%) realized −$103 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate55%1030W / 850L
Drawdown46%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day54.7pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$513
7 days−$446
14 days−$72
30 days+$793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$1,034
other 2% +$48
politics 1% +$13
sports 1% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -93.6% -94.2% 2% 2% -64.1%
≤30d 1472 +14.5% +3.6% 57% 57% +1.9%
≤90d 1880 +9.4% -1.0% 55% 55% -3.1%
all 1880 +9.4% -1.0% 55% 55% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.0% 55% -3.1%
10% ← realistic here -10.5% 55% -12.3%
15% -19.1% 55% -20.8%
20% -27.1% 55% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses1030 / 850
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1880 / 2111
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1880 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$8 -308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$18 -709%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$15 -640%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 100¢ $49 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 79¢ $39 1h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? SELL Yes 18¢ $34 1h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 36¢ $71 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 19¢ $74 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY 37¢ $10 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 25¢ $102 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $34 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records