Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:29:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64d2…00d0
crypto · 665 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,277 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,258 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,976
Realized+$2,258
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses565 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)664 / 665
History coverage55d
Avg bet$307
Trades / day53.5
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days−$380
14 days−$69
30 days+$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,957 $1,976 +$19 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? No 87¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$21 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$39 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$82 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,030 +$724 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $412 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$63 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $37 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $6,003 +$55 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $306 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $135 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $180 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $63 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $73 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $2,001 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $2,032 +$572 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $827 −$800 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $409 −$409 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $92 −$90 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $19 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$2,275
sports 4% +$1
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -7.8% -16.5% 80% 20% -10.9%
≤30d 242 -3.8% -12.9% 84% 19% -8.7%
≤90d 664 -1.4% -10.8% 85% 21% -8.5%
all 664 -1.4% -10.8% 85% 21% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 21% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 11% -17.3%
15% -27.2% 7% -25.3%
20% -34.3% 5% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,976.28 · official $1,976.28 (match) · 3486 history records