Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:17:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64d6…c591
crypto · 96 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses60 / 34
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)94 / 96
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day184.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$17 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$16 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$19 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$29
other 1% +$3
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -4.4% -13.5% 64% 55% -11.6%
≤30d 94 -4.4% -13.5% 64% 55% -11.6%
≤90d 94 -4.4% -13.5% 64% 55% -11.6%
all 94 -4.4% -13.5% 64% 55% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover184.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 55% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 33% -20.0%
15% -29.3% 22% -27.8%
20% -36.3% 15% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.98 (match) · 203 history records