trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +21.0% | +9.4% | 56% | 44% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +14.2% | +3.4% | 57% | 43% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +14.2% | +3.4% | 57% | 43% | -9.3% |
| all | 21 | +14.2% | +3.4% | 57% | 43% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.4% | 43% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -6.5% | 33% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -15.6% | 33% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -23.8% | 24% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 35¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+24%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 13¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-21%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $45 | −$17 | -38% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $69 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$4 | +20% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $17 | +$8 | +49% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$4 | +97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +226% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$1 | -35% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -93% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +59% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$12 | +291% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 09 | $9 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? | Jun 08 | $8 | $0 | +5% |