Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64da…d104
crypto · 1394 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$402 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$402 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$402
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses939 / 468
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1407 / 1394
History coverage36d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day94.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$118
14 days−$188
30 days−$363
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$332
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 359 -7.6% -16.4% 68% 24% -15.2%
≤30d 1332 -7.0% -15.9% 67% 27% -14.5%
≤90d 1407 -7.1% -16.0% 67% 26% -14.7%
all 1407 -7.1% -16.0% 67% 26% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 26% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 12% -22.9%
15% -31.4% 5% -30.3%
20% -38.1% 3% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records