Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64da…ab5a
other · 33 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$123 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$123 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses17 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage470d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$105
14 days+$104
30 days+$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $138 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 12 $190 −$3 -1%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $92 +$107 +116%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 07 $1 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $12 $0 -2%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 06 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Dec 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jun 27 $6 $0 -6%
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 Jun 07 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? May 24 $2 $0 +2%
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? May 09 $2 $0 +1%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 06 $2 $0 +1%
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope? Apr 05 $34 $0 +0%
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30? Apr 03 $33 $0 +0%
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? Apr 02 $35 −$2 -4%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Mar 30 $34 $0 +1%
OX.FUN insolvent before April? Mar 30 $13 $0 -0%
Will Fear & Greed Index report "Neutral" on March 31? Mar 29 $23 $0 +0%
March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4? Mar 29 $34 +$1 +3%
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23? Mar 25 $34 $0 +1%
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? Mar 24 $33 −$1 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31? Mar 22 $2 $0 -16%
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? Mar 21 $27 $0 +0%
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 18 $3 $0 -10%
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? Mar 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14? Mar 13 $5 $0 -4%
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14? Mar 12 $28 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? Mar 12 $34 $0 -0%
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14? Mar 12 $36 $0 +1%
2025 February hottest on record? Mar 12 $36 $0 +1%
Devils vs. Stars Mar 06 $22 +$14 +67%
Monmouth vs. Drexel Mar 04 $15 +$7 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 52% +$103
other 26% $0
sports 8% +$21
politics 7% −$2
tech 3% $0
finance 2% $0
culture 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 8¢ $7 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 8¢ $7 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 64¢ $138 28h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 64¢ $138 33h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 56¢ $52 43h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 57¢ $53 45h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 57¢ $22 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 57¢ $19 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 57¢ $56 2d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $99 2d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 94¢ $146 6d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 25¢ $39 6d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $4 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 8d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 8d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $53 8d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $53 8d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $52 8d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $52 8d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $4 9d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $21 9d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $13 9d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 55¢ $20 9d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 55¢ $19 9d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 4¢ $8 9d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $8 9d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? SELL No 91¢ $5 352d
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? BUY No 96¢ $6 371d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +30.6% +18.2% 50% 25% +12.7%
≤30d 7 +17.1% +5.9% 29% 14% +9.6%
≤90d 7 +17.1% +5.9% 29% 14% +9.6%
all 33 +3.0% -6.8% 52% 9% +1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.8% 9% +1.7%
10% -15.7% 9% -8.1%
15% -23.9% 9% -16.9%
20% -31.3% 6% -25.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 96 history records