Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:27:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x64db…9a6f crypto 1027 markets active 1h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,945 (+1%) realized +$2,945 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1010W / 19L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$413per market
Trades / day61.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 40d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -1.8% -11.2% 97% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 552 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 1029 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 1029 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$577) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$62 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,945
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1010 / 19
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 1027
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$413
Trades / day61.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1029 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$9 -945%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$7 -700%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $205 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $393 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $245 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $337 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $320 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $142 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $309 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $320 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $624 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $335 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $269 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $287 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $430 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $297 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $293 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $258 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $322 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $198 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $62 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $213 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $297 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $267 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $262 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $294 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $420 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $94 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $379 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $152 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $153 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $151 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $152 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $156 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $351 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $190 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $35 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $190 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $138 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $140 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $58 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $250 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $61 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $64 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $304 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $79 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $300 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $624 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $304 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $31 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records