Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64f1…fc6e
crypto · 627 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,763 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,975 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$2,975
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses387 / 238
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)625 / 627
History coverage144d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day10.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 625 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 67¢ 100¢ $24 $35 +$11 (+48%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 85¢ 100¢ $17 $20 +$3 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5 Under 9¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Heat vs. Celtics Heat 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$3 +34%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$11 +206%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 +$6 +124%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +105%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$7 -67%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$6 +44%
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 May 16 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 15 $25 −$20 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 15 $20 −$18 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 15 $47 −$23 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 15 $24 +$16 +64%
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 15 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 15 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 15 $7 −$3 -44%
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw? May 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 15 $29 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 15 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5) May 15 $4 +$1 +34%
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5) May 15 $8 +$2 +23%
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? May 15 $3 +$7 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 14 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 14 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 14 $31 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 14 $27 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 14 $117 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 14 $95 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 14 $802 +$29 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 14 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 14 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 14 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 14 $7 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 14 $3 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 14 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$3,609
sports 9% +$650
other 0% +$1
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 96¢ $14 25m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 94¢ $9 34m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 76¢ $8 54m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $9 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 80¢ $10 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 74¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 7h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 39¢ $4 13h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 14h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $4 14h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 92¢ $9 36h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 44h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $15 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 14¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $14 2d
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-16? BUY Yes 74¢ $10 28d
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $6 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $4 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +9.7% -0.8% 62% 54% +7.2%
≤30d 31 -7.4% -16.2% 55% 52% -23.2%
≤90d 238 -12.0% -20.4% 55% 47% -21.1%
all 625 +3.5% -6.4% 62% 49% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.4% 49% -13.1%
10% -15.3% 36% -21.4%
15% -23.5% 28% -29.0%
20% -31.0% 20% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.95 · official $54.86 (match) · 2143 history records