Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:18:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64f8…d21a
crypto · 415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,968 -70%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,966 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized−$5,966
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses220 / 659
Open positions1
Markets (closed)879 / 415
History coverage2d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day1544.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 879 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,961
7 days−$5,966
14 days−$5,966
30 days−$5,966
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 91¢ 92¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 20¢ 8¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $35 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-60.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 879 -56.7% -60.9% 25% 3% -47.2%
≤30d 879 -56.7% -60.9% 25% 3% -47.2%
≤90d 879 -56.7% -60.9% 25% 3% -47.2%
all 879 -56.7% -60.9% 25% 3% -47.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1544.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.9% 3% -47.2%
10% ← realistic here -64.6% 1% -52.3%
15% -68.0% 1% -56.9%
20% -71.2% 1% -61.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.75 · official $44.09 · 3500 history records