Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:28:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6507…2d2c
crypto · 215 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$165 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$164 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses124 / 90
Open positions1
Markets (closed)214 / 215
History coverage9d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day377.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days−$556
14 days−$164
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 61¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$12 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$14 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$11 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$11 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$12 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $62 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $33 +$11 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$12 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$11 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $48 +$13 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$14 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$165
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -27.1% -34.0% 54% 54% -16.9%
≤30d 214 -21.6% -29.1% 58% 58% -11.1%
≤90d 214 -21.6% -29.1% 58% 58% -11.1%
all 214 -21.6% -29.1% 58% 58% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover377.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 58% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 52% -19.6%
15% -42.1% 23% -27.4%
20% -47.8% 6% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.56 · official $2.56 (match) · 3500 history records