trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +13.6% | +2.8% | 100% | 67% | +2.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 71% | 57% | -5.2% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +12.1% | +1.4% | 70% | 55% | -4.1% |
| all | 20 | +12.1% | +1.4% | 70% | 55% | -4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.4% | 55% | -4.1% |
| 10% | -8.3% | 35% | -13.2% |
| 15% | -17.1% | 25% | -21.6% |
| 20% | -25.3% | 15% | -29.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 98¢ | $420 | $468 | +$48 (+11%) |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $308 | $307 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | Jun 27 | $81 | +$17 | +21% |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 23 | $90 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? | Jun 22 | $84 | +$12 | +15% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | Jun 19 | $13 | −$10 | -76% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 18 | $89 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | Jun 16 | $168 | −$167 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $141 | +$150 | +107% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 12 | $205 | +$52 | +26% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $64 | −$5 | -8% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | Jun 07 | $7 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$3 | +100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31? | Jun 07 | $14 | +$6 | +43% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 02 | $8 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | May 30 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | Apr 29 | $11 | +$2 | +21% |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | Apr 28 | $11 | +$12 | +102% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Apr 11 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Apr 11 | $8 | $0 | -1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 04 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | Apr 02 | $4 | +$1 | +40% |