Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:53:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x650c…ced6
crypto · 1683 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$362 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$362 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$362
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1367 / 316
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1683 / 1683
History coverage43d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day53.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$12
30 days−$2,111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$414
other 3% +$52
sports 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 1% -9.8%
≤30d 1091 -1.0% -10.4% 71% 1% -25.0%
≤90d 1683 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 1% -9.7%
all 1683 -0.2% -9.7% 81% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records