trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 0% | 0% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 0% | 0% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 8% | 8% | -12.6% |
| all | 13 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 8% | 8% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.9% | 8% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -33.0% | 8% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 8% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -45.4% | 0% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 23¢ | 24¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 62¢ | 60¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 24 | $574 | −$16 | -3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 24 | $446 | −$10 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 24 | $174 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 24 | $90 | −$6 | -6% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 24 | $216 | −$5 | -2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Jun 24 | $86 | −$13 | -15% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 24 | $172 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $286 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31? | Jun 24 | $26 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Apr 01 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Apr 01 | $22 | +$8 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Apr 01 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Apr 01 | $16 | −$3 | -20% |