trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 24 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 50% | 4% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 4% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $32 | −$1 | -4% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 15 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $31 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 09 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 08 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 04 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 03 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 29 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Mar 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 29-30°F on February 20? | Mar 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| St. John's vs. DePaul | Mar 04 | $8 | +$1 | +16% |