Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
65 0x6542…32df crypto 1465 markets active 6d ago coverage 38d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$289 (-4%) realized −$289 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate79%1154W / 313L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day75.1pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$186
other 7% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +19.6% +8.2% 89% 7% -7.7%
≤30d 686 -1.7% -11.1% 81% 19% -12.6%
≤90d 1467 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 29% -12.0%
all 1467 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 29% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover75.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 29% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 7% -20.4%
15% -26.7% 2% -28.1%
20% -33.8% 1% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$289
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1154 / 313
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1467 / 1465
History coverage38d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day75.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1467 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +1523%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.26 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records