Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6553…7a71
sports · 1395 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$33,450 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31,970 · open +$1,480
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,797
Realized+$31,970
Unrealized+$1,480
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses758 / 530
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$2,878
Open positions55
Markets (closed)1288 / 1395
History coverage16d
Avg bet$184
Trades / day158.7
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 55 History 1288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,935
7 days+$11,848
14 days+$28,060
30 days+$31,970
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 27¢ 100¢ $256 $950 +$693 (+270%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners Over 48¢ 100¢ $428 $890 +$463 (+108%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 61¢ 100¢ $436 $715 +$279 (+64%)
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska Lea Ma 78¢ 98¢ $500 $627 +$127 (+25%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 47¢ 100¢ $289 $613 +$324 (+112%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Over 60¢ 60¢ $443 $448 +$5 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 40¢ 70¢ $248 $437 +$189 (+76%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $428 $430 +$2 (+0%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 46¢ 48¢ $395 $416 +$21 (+5%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 60¢ 74¢ $333 $408 +$75 (+23%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Los Angeles Sparks 54¢ 52¢ $390 $379 −$11 (-3%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces 56¢ 56¢ $367 $370 +$3 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 52¢ 80¢ $235 $364 +$129 (+55%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 43¢ $389 $342 −$48 (-12%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 68¢ $245 $337 +$92 (+38%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 34¢ 36¢ $302 $322 +$20 (+7%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 53¢ 64¢ $265 $320 +$55 (+21%)
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Hikaru Sato Hikaru Sato 65¢ 65¢ $319 $319 +$0 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 54¢ 58¢ $270 $290 +$20 (+7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Under 53¢ 52¢ $279 $277 −$2 (-1%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) Las Vegas Aces 51¢ 52¢ $236 $238 +$2 (+1%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Under 49¢ 46¢ $240 $228 −$12 (-5%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) New York Mets 63¢ 58¢ $243 $226 −$17 (-7%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Under 51¢ 50¢ $226 $224 −$2 (-1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Under 50¢ 34¢ $310 $208 −$102 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Gimcheon: Chan-Yeong Oh vs Geun Jun Kim Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Filip Peliwo vs. Arda Azkara: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Monastir: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Benjamin Willwerth Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Jun 13 $371 −$371 -100%
Altmaier vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Thespa Gunma vs. SC Sagamihara: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Barton vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayeni Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $413 −$413 -100%
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-05-22? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Luna Vujovic vs Selena Janicijevic Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Geneva Open (Doubles): Behar/Pavic vs Arends/Pel Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5 Jun 13 $294 −$294 -100%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
ITF Wichita: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Grado: Francesca Gandolfi vs Eleonora Alvisi Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munar Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Anna Sedysheva vs Vasilisa Taranova Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Blanch vs. Pavlovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Krajci vs. Gombos: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Kosice: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Miriana Tona Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Maria Golovina Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Choinski vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $178 −$178 -100%
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Anna Siskova Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
ITF Bol: Eva Bennemann vs Valentina Ivanov Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Mataro: Mae Malige vs Luis Garcia Paez Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Karuizawa: Ryota Tanuma vs Hiromasa Koyama Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: CD Cuenca (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Roasso Kumamoto: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
ITF Szentendre: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Patricia Georgiana Goina Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$32,153
other 8% +$7,699
crypto 0% +$100
world 0% +$170
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 73¢ $200 8m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 30¢ $9 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 30¢ $12 11m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Under 73¢ $7 12m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 70¢ $21 14m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Over 59¢ $51 25m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 43¢ $17 50m
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 47¢ $308 55m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 52¢ $239 56m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 49¢ $395 1h
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska BUY Lea Ma 78¢ $488 1h
ITF Decatur: Lea Ma vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska BUY Lea Ma 78¢ $15 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Over 60¢ $398 1h
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Hikaru Sato BUY Hikaru Sato 65¢ $322 2h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 51¢ $239 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 71¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 69¢ $0 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 55¢ $28 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 55¢ $12 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 BUY Under 53¢ $16 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 50¢ $315 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 37¢ $2 3h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 39¢ $187 3h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 47¢ $143 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 36¢ $183 3h
Indios de Mayaguez vs. Leones de Ponce BUY Leones de Ponce 51¢ $6 3h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson BUY Andrew Johnson 56¢ $17 3h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson BUY Andrew Johnson 55¢ $17 3h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson BUY Andrew Johnson 54¢ $118 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 55¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 695 -11.8% -20.2% 51% 47% +2.5%
≤30d 1288 +3.3% -6.6% 59% 54% +4.3%
≤90d 1288 +3.3% -6.6% 59% 54% +4.3%
all 1288 +3.3% -6.6% 59% 54% +4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 54% +4.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 48% -5.7%
15% -23.7% 40% -14.8%
20% -31.1% 31% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,797.24 · official $11,654.88 · 3500 history records