Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6564…47ce
crypto · 268 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$38 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$43
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses131 / 135
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions2
Markets (closed)266 / 268
History coverage8d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day219.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$328
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+135%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 59¢ 36¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$11 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$144
crypto 16% +$130
politics 8% +$56
other 1% −$4
world 0% $0
tech 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 262 +1.1% -8.6% 49% 45% -13.8%
≤30d 266 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 45% -9.0%
≤90d 266 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 45% -9.0%
all 266 +2.3% -7.5% 49% 45% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 45% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 39% -17.7%
15% -24.4% 36% -25.6%
20% -31.8% 29% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.27 · official $15.31 (match) · 1999 history records