Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T01:37:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
65 0x6565…c235 sports 34 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$21 (+0%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate97%33W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$157per market
Trades / day14.4pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit62%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 56% −$19
other 40% +$26
crypto 3% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 3% -9.1%
≤30d 34 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 3% -9.1%
≤90d 34 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 3% -9.1%
all 34 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 3% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 3% -9.1%
10% -18.9% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.7% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$92 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.29 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses33 / 1
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage5d
Avg bet$157
Trades / day14.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $19 $0 +1%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $246 +$4 +2%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $346 +$4 +1%
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 21 $379 +$21 +6%
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 21 $151 +$3 +2%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 21 $491 +$9 +2%
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 20 $198 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 20 $198 +$2 +1%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $69 +$1 +1%
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $95 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 20 $300 $0 +0%
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? Jun 20 $181 +$19 +11%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $193 +$7 +4%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia? Jun 19 $190 +$10 +5%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $40 $0 +1%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $95 +$5 +5%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 19 $199 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $147 +$3 +2%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $149 +$1 +1%
Czechia to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 18 $99 +$1 +1%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 18 $91 +$6 +6%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 17 $144 $0 +0%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Austria to score first vs. Jordan? Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Argentina to score first vs. Algeria? Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $148 +$2 +1%
Algeria to score first vs. Argentina? Jun 17 $93 −$92 -99%
Norway leading at halftime? Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $19 1h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 98¢ $98 1h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $248 1h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 98¢ $246 1h
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 77¢ $91 19h
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 77¢ $46 19h
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 79¢ $17 19h
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 75¢ $151 19h
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 95¢ $191 19h
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 94¢ $188 20h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $37 23h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $27 23h
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 98¢ $426 23h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $64 27h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $5 27h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire? BUY No 99¢ $99 28h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 95¢ $28 28h
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 95¢ $67 28h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire? BUY No 99¢ $99 28h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? BUY No 99¢ $99 29h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? BUY No 99¢ $99 29h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $59 30h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 100¢ $300 30h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? BUY No 90¢ $181 31h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $40 2d
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $77 2d
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 99¢ $22 2d
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 95¢ $95 2d
United States vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 94¢ $94 2d
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia? BUY No 95¢ $190 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 104 history records